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May 12, 2022

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28 avril 2022







Upcoming events


CHARITY DART TOURNAMENT – Royal Oak Orléans is hosting a charity dart tournament in support of the Orléans-Cumberland Community Resource Centre Food Bank in honour of Royal Oak Day. Cost is $10/player, teams are chosen at random and there are prizes to be won! Registration at 12:30 p.m. Game time 1 p.m.

CORO VIVO OTTAWA presents Nibi Water is Life – L’eau, c’est la vie at 7:30 pm at Orléans United Church. This is Coro Vivo’s Spring Concert featuring a commissioned work by the Cree composer Andrew Balfour. Tickets $25 on eventbrite.com or $30 at the door. Children under 14 admitted at no charge.

PINTS FOR POTCAKES from 11 am to 2 pm at the Stray Dog Brewing Company in support of Eastern Ontario Potcake Rescue. Beers, raffle and bake sale. Come out and have a pint while visiting with some adoptable dogs at the Stray Dog Brewing Company, 501 Lacolle Way in the Taylor Creek Business Park.

ORLÉANS FARMER’S MARKET from 11 am to 4 pm in the parking lot at the Ray Friel Recreation Complex on Tenth Line Road featuring local food vendors and producers.

THE ORIGINAL NAVAN MARKET returns to the Navan Fair Grounds from 10 am to 5 pm with more than 150 local vendors and artisans. Come and see why the Original Navan Markey has become on of the most popular outdoor markets in Eastern Ontario.Visit facebook.com/OriginalNavanMarket.

BLACKBURN FUN FAIR returns to Blackburn Hamlet with a carnival style midway, music, local vendors, a used book fair, beer garden and fireworks. For more information visit www.blackburnfunfair.ca.


 



VIEWPOINT: COVID-19: The inexact science of epidemiology
By Fred Sherwin
May 12, 2022

If there is one thing we have learned from the COVID-19 pandemic – besides the effectiveness of a concentrated campaign of fear by public health officials in trying to control a largely uneducated population – it’s that epidemiology is not exactly an exact science. There are a number of reasons for this, starting with the fact that we all have a unique immune system.

It is often said that immune systems are like snowflakes, no two are the same, not even in identical twins. This is why there are no quick and easy answers, or solutions, to how our bodies interact with viruses or vaccines.

Two people could be exposed to the same level of the COVID-19 virus and one of them could show very little or no symptoms at all, while the other person could end up experiencing moderate to severe symptoms.

Perhaps the biggest reason why the science of epidemiology is so inexact is the fact that it is impossible to measure just how strong or weak your immune system is, or how capable or incapable it is in fighting off viruses.

Unfortunately, the only why to combat an epidemic when everyone has a different immune system is to treat everyone the same by introducing blanket restrictions, that at face value, impact everyone equally.

In reality, they do the opposite. People who are fortunate enough to have a job that gives them a guaranteed paycheque every two weeks are not impacted the same way as people who are laid off for months on end because of forced closures – not even close.

But I digress. Fortunately most countries have made the transition from blanket restrictions and closures to people needing to be responsible for their own actions in so much as they relate to possible exposure and potential degree of illness – Canada included.

First and foremost, if you don’t want to risk ending up in the hospital, or having long haul symptoms, get vaccinated. This is especially true for people who have underlying health conditions and/or weak immune systems.

Those same people are also going to have to take their own precautions in limiting their exposure to COVID, even if they are fully vaccinated.

Most of the people who are being treated in hospitals for COVID now have been vaccinated, unfortunately most of those same people have underlying health conditions and weakened immune systems. Ergo the vaccine didn’t prevent them from getting the virus or from having moderate to severe symptoms. It’s one of those knew realities we keep hearing about.

So if you see someone who is still wearing a mask indoors and outdoors and avoids large crowds it’s probably because their health is such that they can’t risk catching COVID even if they are vaccinated. It’s called taking personal responsibility for your health.

It also means they might have to avoid large gatherings like concerts, festivals and sporting events. Better that than the government shutting everything down to protect them.

I remember in the early days telling my neighbour that his health is not my responsibility, it’s his own. He called me selfish. I then asked him what is more selfish my telling him that his health is not my responsibility, or him expecting everyone to put their lives on hold for over a year to protect him from catching the virus?

It was a rhetorical question.

I’ve also been getting emails from people arguing that they should have kept the restrictions in place to prevent people fro getting long haul COVID symptoms, and while I sympathize – I have a friend who has been suffering from COVID symptoms for over a year and a half now – it is a risk that we all have to assume, like the risk of getting cancer from too much sun or being exposed to environmental pollution.

COVID is not going away and everyone is eventually going to get it whether you wear mask or not, or avoid contact with other human beings. You are going to get it from someone at some point, likely from a family member. And once you get it, your immune system will handle it and become stronger for it. Wearing a mask 24/7 and avoiding human contact is only avoiding the inevitable. That’s not science, it’s just reality.

Even people with underlying conditions and weak immune systems are going to catch it, fortunately with vaccines and new treatments the symptoms will be manageable and they will get better. So live with it folks and let’s get on with our lives..

(If you wish to comment on this or any other View Point column please write to Fred Sherwin at fsherwin@orleansstar.ca)

 

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VIEWPOINT: The inexact science of epidemiology

 

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